Prices
What is pushing the score
Tripwires
Known signs of a system under strain. Tap one to see why it matters.
US government debt, estimated right now
Can US gold cover the debt?
Waiting for prices.
US official gold: 8,133 tonnes. Valued at today's market price, not the $42.22 book price.
Who holds the debt
Holder figures come from the Check-in tab. With the optional worker set up, the full Treasury table appears here.
Weekly check-in
Fields marked Auto fill themselves. The rest have no free machine-readable feed, so update them once a week from the linked source. A value is marked stale when it is older than its source normally allows.
Silver ladder, rupees per kg
Current price loading.
Gold ladder, rupees per 10 g
Current price loading.
Rupee prices are estimated from the international price, the dollar rate and the import duty set in Guide. Local jeweller and ETF prices can differ.
How to read Fault Line
The stress score runs from 0 to 100. It blends 16 signals from the dollar, US debt, interest rates, the physical silver market, central banks and price action. Each signal has a calm level and a critical level, and its weight decides how much it moves the score. A value past its normal update window counts at half weight, and one far too old drops out, so stale numbers cannot drive the score.
The dollar signal counts both ways. A fast fall points to a loss of trust. A fast jump points to a scramble for dollars, which in 2020 crashed silver before its rally.
A high score means the system is under strain. It does not say which way prices go next. Strain usually means bigger swings in both directions, and in 2026 silver both hit a record and halved in the same year.
Tripwires are yes or no tests. One red tripwire is noise. Several turning red together, and staying red for weeks, is what a real break looks like.
- Calm, 0 to 25: ordinary market moves.
- Watch, 25 to 45: pressure building, check weekly.
- Elevated, 45 to 65: several stress points at once.
- High, 65 to 80: broad strain, shocks possible.
- Critical, above 80: many tripwires firing together.
Settings
Live data sources
- Gold and silver: gold-api.com, with currency-api as a backup.
- Dollar rates and history: fawazahmed0 currency-api, open.er-api.com as a backup. The dollar index is computed from six currencies with the official ICE weights.
- US debt, average interest rate and auction results: US Treasury Fiscal Data API.
- Auto-fill: New York Fed (Fed rate and balance sheet), US Treasury yield curve, BLS (CPI), and the Treasury TIC table through your own worker.
Not investment advice. Fault Line measures strain in the dollar and bullion system. It does not predict prices.